Labor’s renewable energy targets were ‘doomed’ from the beginning - The Australian

The Australian reports that Labor's renewable energy targets have been characterized as unachievable from the outset. The piece cites sources describing structural obstacles to meeting the stated goals within the policy timeframe.
Where this fits
This story exposes a core tension in Australia's energy transition: renewable targets are set without proportionate planning for the firming capacity, transmission network, and critical material supply chains needed to make them work. When targets slip or stall, the pattern repeats: blame execution, then set new targets, rather than reframe the underlying constraint. The firm-power problem is baked into the model. A nuclear alternative, banned by law, would sidestep the firming and transmission overbuild, run on domestic uranium, and deliver firm megawatts on a predictable schedule. Instead, Australia is locked into a renewable pathway that depends entirely on China's battery, inverter, and panel supply chain to function at all.
What it means
Missed renewable targets reveal a planning failure, not a shortage of will. When a grid cannot be reliably firmed without gas plants running longer, or when transmission cannot be built fast enough to move remote solar to load centers, the targets become academic. Each delay in grid transformation stretches the window during which older coal plants must remain online, embedding sunk costs and delaying the emissions benefit. Australia needs firm, dispatchable power at scale. The renewable roadmap delivers neither predictability nor sovereignty over its own supply chain. That trade-off has not been honestly debated.
Go deeper on the numbers
The bigger picture
Energy security is national security. This connects to the wider case at Unprepared: Australia's dependence on a strategic rival, and how ready it is for the world that is coming.
Reported by GNews: The Australian energy. Read the original report ↗
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Submission: Senate Inquiry into the Domestic Gas Reservation Bills - Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA)
The numbers, as they move
A short, sourced brief when the figures shift: a transmission blow-out, a supply-chain move, a milestone.