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Policy2026-09-14· GNews: AFR energy

Energy bills will rise ‘astronomically’ under One Nation, Coalition - afr.com

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One Nation and the Coalition have both made proposals the government says will increase electricity bills substantially. Labor claims One Nation's plan to extend coal plant life and the Coalition's commitment to "gas-led recovery" will each push costs higher than the government's preferred renewable-and-storage pathway. The government has not published detailed modelling of these competing scenarios, so the precise magnitude of the claimed cost rises cannot be verified from the article alone.

Where this fits

This dispute sits at the heart of Energy Realism's core claim: that firming technology choice drives whole-system cost. Labor argues coal extension and gas investment are expensive. One Nation and the Coalition argue that renewables-plus-storage is the expensive path. The article does not resolve this, it reports political assertion, not engineering or financial modelling open to scrutiny. Until competing scenarios are published with transparent assumptions on capital cost, fuel price, storage duration and cycling efficiency, voters cannot judge which pathway is genuinely cheaper to operate and maintain over 20 years.

What it means

Australia is choosing its grid architecture in the dark. A renewables grid, a gas-backed grid, and a coal-extended grid have radically different cost profiles, but none of the major parties has released sufficiently detailed modelling to let the electorate compare them fairly. Without that transparency, claims of "astronomical" cost rises are slogans, not evidence. Energy security begins with honest accounting.

Go deeper on the numbers

The bigger picture

Energy security is national security. This connects to the wider case at Unprepared: Australia's dependence on a strategic rival, and how ready it is for the world that is coming.

Reported by GNews: AFR energy. Read the original report ↗

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