Toward Decline
US Unpredictability Is Giving Its Asian Allies New Reasons to Cooperate
Why it matters
The article documents a real strategic shift: Trump-era unpredictability is causing Australia's closest partners (Japan) and critical regional allies (South Korea) to invest in independent defence-industrial ties and European linkages, reducing exclusive reliance on the US security umbrella. For Australia, this signals both opportunity (closer Japan partnership) and risk: if the US becomes an unreliable alliance hub, AUKUS submarine timelines, Pillar II industrial coordination, and Indo-Pacific forward positioning all face execution risk.
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