Why AUKUS makes war more likely — and Australia’s actions could precipitate catastrophe - Crikey

This is an opinion/commentary article challenging the strategic rationale for AUKUS, arguing the alliance posture increases rather than decreases war risk in the Indo-Pacific. While it touches directly on Australian alliance policy and defence strategy, it does not report concrete developments—procurement delays, funding cuts, partner signalling, or PLA actions—that would shift pillar metrics or scenario probabilities.