Toward Decline
More in Taiwan favour goodwill to Beijing over defence ties with US, poll shows
Why it matters
Declining Taiwanese public confidence in US security partnership—especially following Trump's Beijing visit—signals potential weakening of the first-island-chain anchor and may embolden PLA contingency planning, directly bearing on Australia's Alliance pillar and Indo-Pacific strategic depth. If Taiwan tilts toward appeasement or reduced US integration, Australia loses a critical buffer and faces accelerated regional pressure, raising kinetic-conflict and American-withdrawal scenario risks.
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