Toward Decline
Before the AUKUS submarines arrive, Australia inherits the risks – part one - Pearls and Irritations
Why it matters
The article exposes a critical capability gap in Australia's Maritime Defence posture (Pillar 6) during the interim period before AUKUS Attack-class submarines arrive—likely the mid-2030s. This window of reduced submarine operational strength creates strategic risk and complicates Alliance credibility (Pillar 7) at a time of rising Indo-Pacific tensions, potentially weakening deterrence against China.
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