Toward Decline
A Guide To China’s Growing Long-Range Nuclear Missile Arsenal
Why it matters
China's rapid expansion of ICBMs and SLBMs directly shifts the nuclear balance in the Indo-Pacific, eroding the credibility of US extended deterrence to Taiwan and Australia. This modernisation raises the risk of miscalculation or Chinese kinetic action in a Taiwan crisis, which Australia would be drawn into via AUKUS alliance obligations.
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