Strategic NewsVietnam, Rare Earths, and the Evolving China Plus One Strategy
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Vietnam, Rare Earths, and the Evolving China Plus One Strategy

The Diplomat Institutional·2026-08-13China EconomyP1: Resource SovereigntyP3: Industrial BaseP5: Strategic Decoupling
Why it matters

The article exposes a critical vulnerability in Australia's decoupling strategy: China's near-monopoly on rare-earth refining (and upstream processing of other critical minerals) persists even as manufacturing shifts to allies like Vietnam. This means Australia cannot achieve true supply-chain independence through geographic diversification alone without developing domestic refining capacity—a costly and years-long undertaking that the article implicitly shows is not yet happening at scale.

Read the original report at The Diplomat

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Where this sits in the model

This development bears on 3 of the eight pillars of Australian preparedness — the overall picture right now is 5/100.

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