Strategic NewsPrabowo in Paris: liberté, égalité, and the autonomy that isn’t
Toward Decline

Prabowo in Paris: liberté, égalité, and the autonomy that isn’t

Lowy Institute Institutional·2026-06-10PacificP5: Strategic DecouplingP7: Alliance ArchitectureP8: Northern Arc
Why it matters

Indonesia's lack of defence-supply autonomy—relying on five countries across five supply chains—signals vulnerability to coercion and limits Jakarta's strategic independence in the Indo-Pacific, a core pillar of Australia's northern-arc stability and alliance architecture. Australia's regional deterrence posture depends partly on allies like Indonesia maintaining credible indigenous capability; fragmented supply chains reduce their capacity to resist pressure and weaken the decoupled, resilient Indo-Pacific security ecosystem Australia needs.

Read the original report at Lowy Institute

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Where this sits in the model

This development bears on 3 of the eight pillars of Australian preparedness — the overall picture right now is 5/100.

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