Toward Decline
AUKUS, Trump and the People’s Inquiry - Michael West Media
Why it matters
AUKUS is Australia's primary hedging mechanism against Chinese naval dominance in the Indo-Pacific; Trump's return to the US presidency introduces acute political risk to the submarine transfer timeline and to US willingness to sustain financial and technical support for the program. A collapse or material delay in AUKUS degrades Australia's maritime deterrent posture and leaves a capability gap during the 2030s when Chinese naval superiority is expected to peak.
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