Strategic NewsForward defence in depth: how to preserve Australia’s strategy of denial
Toward Programme

Forward defence in depth: how to preserve Australia’s strategy of denial

ASPI The Strategist Institutional·2026-11-03AUS DefenceP6: Defence SurgeP7: Alliance Architecture
Why it matters

This ASPI strategy paper articulates a doctrine ('forward defence in depth') that commits Australia to deepening forward posture and ally-partner integration across all domains—a foundational policy statement that, if adopted by Defence, would drive procurement, personnel, and posture decisions affecting Maritime Defence (Pillar 6) and Alliance (Pillar 7). The paper explicitly diagnoses Chinese long-range strike, space, and cyber capabilities as outrunning current ADF denial capacity, signalling that current force structure is insufficient and justifying accelerated capability investment and forward basing.

Read the original report at ASPI The Strategist

Pillar tags and the significance note are AI-classified (Claude) and human-curated. The platform's own preparedness scores never move on a single story without a separate human approval.

From the series
The Unprepared series · Part IV

Xi Jinping and the Purge That Built an Army

The PLA that Xi Jinping inherited in 2012 was modernising, and the one he commands in 2026 is transformed. Part IV of the Unprepared series.

Read the essay 4 min read

Get the weekly brief.

One email a week: what changed, why it matters, and the next essay in the series.

Free every week on Substack. Unsubscribe anytime.

This week's Warning Time

This was AUKUS week, and not in the way its architects would have liked. An independent inquiry recommended scrapping the submarine pact outright, a parliamenta…

Read the issue
Where this sits in the model

This development bears on 2 of the eight pillars of Australian preparedness — the overall picture right now is 5/100.

Go deeper · The Simulator
What would it take to close this gap? Run the fifty-year model.

Read next

All news
The bigger picture

One signal in a live tracker of Australia's preparedness.

Every story here is scored against eight pillars — defence, energy, industry, fiscal reform, alliances and more — companion to the book Unprepared: Australia in an Age of Chinese Power.

Back to all intelligence