Strategic NewsIndonesia’s Emerging China Dependencies
Indonesia’s Emerging China Dependencies
Ministry of State of Indonesia / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain)
Toward Decline

Indonesia’s Emerging China Dependencies

The Diplomat Institutional·2026-09-04China EconomyP5: Strategic DecouplingP7: Alliance Architecture
Why it matters

Indonesia's drift into Chinese economic dependency directly threatens Australia's strategic autonomy and alliance network. A functionally China-aligned Indonesia—the region's largest economy, a G20 member controlling critical maritime chokepoints—would degrade Australia's room to maneuver in the Indo-Pacific, weaken AUKUS strategic depth, and enable Chinese power projection across the archipelago, undermining the northern arc of Australian defence.

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This development bears on 2 of the eight pillars of Australian preparedness — the overall picture right now is 5/100.

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